Louisville Football Bowl Projections: Odds For Cardinals’ 2025-26 Bowl Game

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Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

The Louisville Cardinals' 2025 football season has come crashing down. Without starting quarterback Miller Moss and their top two running backs Isaac Brown and Keyjuan Brown, the Cardinals suffered yet another defeat on Saturday, a 38-6 loss at SMU.

Not only was it Louisville’s third consecutive loss, but it was also the worst loss in the Jeff Brohm era. Now, the Cardinals (7-4 overall, 4-4 ACC) will look to right the ship with a home game against archrival Kentucky this Saturday in a game of great Kentucky sports betting interest.

Regardless of what happens against the Wildcats, the Cardinals will still be bowl bound this season.

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Louisville Football Bowl Projections: Odds For Cards’ 2025-26 Bowl

Bowl, LocationConference OpponentOddsPercent Chance
Pinstripe Bowl, New YorkBig Ten+15040%
Military Bowl, Annapolis, MDAmerican+25028.6%
Duke’s Mayo, CharlotteSEC+80011.1%
Pop-Tarts, OrlandoBig 12+19005.0%
Other (Field) +55515.3%

At BetKentucky.com, as part of our Kentucky college football betting season analysis, these are our exclusive odds on where the Cardinals will go bowling in 2025-26.

Louisville Football Enduring Injury Woes

Louisville’s loss in Dallas was the stuff made from nightmares. Moss had accounted for 96.1% of Louisville’s passing yards during the first 10 games, and the two Browns were responsible 87.8% of the rushing yards during that span as well.

Then, on the first offensive play of the second half, the Cards loss receiver-kick returner Caullin Lacy, who was a top 10 player nationally in all-purpose yards per game, to an apparent ankle injury. 

And on Monday, Brohm announced senior receiver Chris Bell, whose 917 yards are 12th-best nationally, would miss the final home game of his college career with an injury he suffered late in Saturday’s loss.

Despite all the injuries, DraftKings Kentucky Sportsbook still lists the Cards as a three-point favorite over the Cats, who saw their three-game winning streak snapped last Saturday in a 45-17 defeat at Vanderbilt.

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Start Singing The Blues?

Just a couple weeks ago, Louisville was on the cusp of the College Football Playoffs. Now, as BetKentucky’s odds see it, the Cardinals are most likely to spend their holiday seeing the bright lights of Broadway.

The Pinstripe Bowl, or whichever bowl Louisville gets, won’t be anything like the 12-team CFP. However, it would give Brohm and the team extra practices, and that could be crucial to determine if backup quarterback Deuce Adams is the starter for next season.

Adams, a redshirt freshman, struggled Saturday in his first college start but he also showed potential. It’s likely he’ll play at least some against Kentucky on Saturday, according to Brohm’s comments. A bowl game against a Power 4 school could also help him emerge for next season, perhaps letting Brohm and his staff focus their efforts elsewhere in the transfer portal.

So, though the CFP isn’t happening for the Cardinals this season, the next month or so could enhance their odds for it next season.

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USA Today photo by Brett Davis

Louisville Bowl History Since 2019

Year

Bowl

Result

2024

Sun Bowl

Win, 35-34 vs. Washington

2023

Holiday Bowl

Loss, 42-28 vs. Southern Cal

2023

Fenway Bowl

Win, 24-7 vs. Cincinnati

2021

First Responder Bowl

Loss, 31-28 vs. Air Force

2019

Music City Bowl

Win, 38-28 vs. Mississippi State

Author

Steve Bittenbender

Steve is an accomplished, award-winning reporter with more than 20 years of experience covering gaming, sports, politics and business. He has written for the Associated Press, Reuters, The Louisville Courier Journal, The Center Square and numerous other publications. Based in Louisville, Ky., Steve has covered the expansion of sports betting in the U.S. and other gaming matters.

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