Colts vs Jaguars Odds: Who Is Favored To Win This AFC South Rivalry

Fact Checked by Shannon Lane
Colts vs Jaguars Odds

Key Takeaways:

  • πŸ“… This season, the first matchup between Indianapolis and Jacksonville will take place at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, September 10, at 1 p.m. ET. The Colts are just 1-13-1 in Week 1 games since 2008 and have lost nine Week 1 games in a row. 
  • ⭐️ According to DraftKings Sportsbook KY, the Jaguars are a 4.5-point favorite over the Colts in this AFC South matchup in Week 1.
  • 🚨 Colts RB Jonathan Taylor will not be available for this game as he's been placed on the PUP list.

Week 1 of the NFL season kicks off on the same day retail Kentucky sports betting launches. Later in the week, the Indianapolis Colts will look to hit the ground running as they take on the division-rival Jacksonville Jaguars, who are favored to win the AFC South. Indianapolis is a five point underdog to kick the season off on Sunday.

1
Best Choice
Caesars Sports
2
BetMGM.com for Ts & Cs. Must be 21+ to wager. KY only. New Customer Offer (If applicable). All promotions are subject to qualification and eligibility requirements. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets. Bonus bets expire in 7 days from issuance. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
4
Must be 21+ and present in KY. Bonus issued in non-withdrawable bonus bets that expires 30 days after FanDuel accepts its first real money sports wager in KY (β€œGo Live Date”). Unique user identity verification required. Offer ends on the Go Live Date. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
5
This offer is available to customers residing in Kentucky that sign up from 6:00am ET on August 28, 2023. Must be aged 18+ and fully verified for identity by bet365. To qualify for this offer, sign up during the qualifying sign-up period and receive $10 in Bonus Bets for each touchdown scored in the Lions vs. Packers game, taking place on Thursday, September 28, 2023. The maximum amount of Bonus Bets that can be claimed for this offer is $50. To claim your Bonus Bets, go to the Account menu, choose My Offers and click Claim.

Colts vs Jaguars Odds: Who Is Favored To Win?

The Jacksonville Jaguars are favored at -5 to win vs. the Colts, meaning Jacksonville must win by at least 4 points to cover the spread.

🏈 Point SpreadColts +5
πŸ“Š TotalO/U 45.4
πŸ’° MoneylineColts +185
βœ… Last Updated:September 22, 2023

The spread lists the Jaguars as slightly-more-than-a-field-goal favorite, which will be massively important regardless of which team you predict to win. The key numbers to look for when betting on NFL spreads are 3 and 7, as these are the most commonly point totals scored in games.

More importantly the Jags have moved from a 3.5-point favorite to a 5-point favorite in the last two weeks. Division rival home underdogs are 31-12-2 (72%) against the spread over the last 8 years. Is Jax good enough to break that trend?

Getting above either key number of 3 or 7 when backing the underdog or below either number on a favorite can be the difference between winning and losing a bet.

Latest Colts Jaguars Odds, Updates, & News

While recent news surrounding the Colts has been less than ideal, there's still hope that they can succeed this season even without RB Jonathan Taylor. The Jacksonville Jaguars updates, meanwhile, have gotten nothing but positive reviews this offseason.

  • πŸ“… Sept. 6: Deon Jackson is expected to be the Colts starting RB against Jacksonville.
  • πŸ“… Aug. 29: RB Jonathan Taylor will start the season on the PUP list, guaranteeing he'll miss the first 4 games of the season and indicating a trade is not imminent.
  • πŸ“… Aug. 21: The The Colts allow Taylor to seek a trade.
  • πŸ“… Aug. 15: Rookie QB Anthony Richardson is named the Colts starting QB.
  • πŸ“… Aug. 5: Indianapolis signs veteran running back Kenyan Drake to combat recent Colts injuries.
  • πŸ“… July 31: Colts injuries continue to be an issue as RB Zach Moss suffers a broken arm, sidelining him for at least six weeks.
  • πŸ“… July 29: Taylor requests a trade from the Colts after meeting with owner Jim Irsay.
  • πŸ“… April 27: Richardson is drafted fourth overall by the Indianapolis Colts.
  • πŸ“… Feb. 14: The Colts hire Eagles OC Shane Steichen as their new head coach.
  • πŸ“… March 15: QB Matt Ryan is released by the Indianapolis Colts.
  • πŸ“… March 6: WR Calvin Ridley is reinstated to the Jaguars active roster by the NFL.
  • πŸ“… Feb. 14: The Colts hire Eagles OC Shane Steichen as their new head coach.
  • πŸ“… Nov. 7, 2022: The Colts fire head coach Frank Reich following the team's Week 9 loss.

Colts Jaguars Spread: What The Spread Tells Us

The absence of Jonathan Taylor absolutely has had an effect on the spread. The Colts moved from 3.5- to 5-point underdogs after it was announced he would be on the PUP list for at least the first four weeks of the season.

Last season, the Colts went just 6-11 against the spread.

Learn More: Best NFL Betting Promo Codes

Colts vs Jaguars Moneyline: What The Moneyline Tells Us

The Jaguars have moved up to a -225 favorite on the moneyline after previously opening at -184. Without Jonathan Taylor, the Colts become a major betting liability. However, divisional home underdogs have done crazier things.

 
BetMGM.com for Ts & Cs. Must be 21+ to wager. KY only. New Customer Offer (If applicable). All promotions are subject to qualification and eligibility requirements. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets. Bonus bets expire in 7 days from issuance. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Indianapolis Colts Chances To Win vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Without Jonathan Taylor, the Colts are largely at a disadvantage. The addition of Calvin Ridley makes this Jacksonville offense even more threatening than they already were. Jacksonville is expected to one of the most productive offenses in the NFL this season.

To have a serious chance against the Jaguars, the Colts will need Anthony Richardson to make a massive impression on the offense early.

How The Colts Win vs Jacksonville

Outside of Taylor, the Colts will look for second-year WR Alec Pierce to have a pivotal role in the offense. Jags QB Trevor Lawrence had a slow start to the year a season ago, which could happen again as Jacksonville LT Cam Robinson will miss the first four games of the season after violating the NFL's PED policy.

How The Jaguars Win vs Indy

The Jags will be the more talented team come Week 1, but their experience and continuity will be even more important. Two years together for Doug Pederson and Trevor Lawrence is a huge advantage over the Colts' first-year coaching staff and young team. The addition of Calvin Ridley also elevates the Jags offense.

Colts vs Jaguars Prop Bets

Prop bets are wagers on a specific player or outcome outside of the final score. Here are a few examples for the Week 1 matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars.

Colts vs Jaguars Player Props

⭐️ Calvin Ridley (Jaguars)+130 Anytime TD Scorer
⭐️ Deon Jackson (Colts)+175 Anytime TD Scorer
⭐️ Anthony Richardson (Colts)+220 Anytime TD Scorer
⭐️ Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)-115 to Throw 256.5+ Yds
⭐️ Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)-120 to Rush 11.5+ Yds
βœ… Last Updated:September 22, 2023

Calvin Ridley is expected to be the Jags' lead pass catcher, while Deon Jackson is expected to be the lead back for the Colts. Anthony Richardson is known for his mobility as a quarterback, which is why all of these are worthwhile props to consider.

Trevor Lawrence's passing ability should only improve with his added weapons downfield. However, the Colts pass rush could be an issue, which is why I can see him going over his rushing total as well.

Colts vs Jaguars Team Props

πŸ“Š Colts Total Team PointsO/U 20.5
πŸ“Š Jaguars Total Team PointsO/U 25.5
πŸ“Š Odd/EvenOdd -125, Even +105
πŸ“Š Jags to Win by 7-12 Points+400
πŸ“Š Race to 25Jaguars +110
βœ… Last Updated:September 22, 2023

Both teams' totals have gone up in the last two weeks, and oddsmakers seem to believe it could be even more likely that the Jaguars will win by at least a touchdown.

History of Colts vs Jaguars Games

The Colts and the Jags played twice before conference realignment made them AFC South foes. Indianapolis won both of those matchups. This trend continued as they became division rivals, with Indianapolis posting a record of 27-17 against Jacksonville. As of late, Jacksonville has made it interesting, beating Indianapolis in five of the last ten meetings and two of the previous three.

Colts Record vs Jaguars

Indianapolis leads the all-time series against Jacksonville 27-17, but their record at home is even more impressive. In Lucas Oil Stadium, the Colts are 17-5 against the Jaguars, compared to their record of 10-12 in TIAA Bank Field.

It's also worth noting that the Colts will look to win their first season opener in nine years.

 
Must be 21+ and present in KY. Bonus issued in non-withdrawable bonus bets that expires 30 days after FanDuel accepts its first real money sports wager in KY (β€œGo Live Date”). Unique user identity verification required. Offer ends on the Go Live Date. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

All-Time Best Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars Games

The 2000s saw the Colts dominate their rival Jaguars in most matchups and featured some of the best meetings between the two. This was due in no small part to Hall of Famer Peyton Manning.

Week 15, 2009: Colts vs Jaguars 

The list of vintage Peyton Manning performances against the Jags is long, but one of the best came in 2009. Manning and the Colts entered the fourth quarter down three to the Jags, but a 65-yard touchdown to Reggie Wayne gave them the lead. The win kept Indianapolis perfect on the season en route to an AFC Championship.

Week 14, 2006: Colts vs Jaguars

One of the most dominant wins in series history came in 2006 as the Jags knocked off a 10-2 Colts team that would go on to win the Super Bowl. En route to their 27-point win, the Jaguars set a franchise record in single-game rushing yards as Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor combined for 375 yards. Despite throwing for over 300 yards, Colts quarterback Peyton Manning did not record a single touchdown in the game.

Week 15, 2010: Jaguars vs Colts

Yet again, the Colts stepped up when it mattered most against the Jags in 2010. The Colts led the entire game but were threatened late as Mike Sims scored a touchdown for the Jags with 1:59 left. On the next possession, Tyjuan Hagler would make that null and void and keep the Colts playoff hopes alive with a 41-yard kickoff return touchdown.

 
This offer is available to customers residing in Kentucky that sign up from 6:00am ET on August 28, 2023. Must be aged 18+ and fully verified for identity by bet365. To qualify for this offer, sign up during the qualifying sign-up period and receive $10 in Bonus Bets for each touchdown scored in the Lions vs. Packers game, taking place on Thursday, September 28, 2023. The maximum amount of Bonus Bets that can be claimed for this offer is $50. To claim your Bonus Bets, go to the Account menu, choose My Offers and click Claim.

Colts vs Jaguars FAQs

Author

Keg is an NFL, CFB and college basketball betting expert in Kentucky with years of gambling experience. He'll dig into the latest odds and updates in the lead up to legal sports betting's launch in Kentucky.

Cited by leading media organizations, such as:

Scroll to top